MRPL

OVERVALUED

Mangalore Refinery and Petrochemicals Limited

Oil & Gas · NSE

83.8% vs fair value

52W Low

118

+51.6% from low

52W High

212

-15.8% from high

News sentiment (4 articles)
3 bull1 neutral0 bear

Valuation Gauge

OVERVALUED-83.8% Margin of Safety
OVERVALUEDFAIRLY VALUEDUNDERVALUED

Current Price

₹179

Fair Value

₹97

Fair Value Analysis

₹97

Based on free cash flow projections and balance sheet strength analysis and earnings multiple (EV/EBITDA) for Oil & Gas sector companies | CAUTION: ROCE declining (latest 8.8%) — returns on capital are falling; verify this isn't a value trap. | Growth capped at 9.9% (ROE 8.6%×1.15) — historical CAGR exceeds sustainable rate or COVID period unverifiable. | COVID-resilient: PAT dropped from ₹351Cr (FY2019) to ₹-4043Cr (FY2020) during COVID but has fully recovered.

Medium confidence

Cash Flow Analysis

40% weight

₹151

Balance Sheet Value

20% weight

₹106

EV/EBITDA Multiple

40% weight

₹40

Price vs Market

MRPL
Nifty 50

Shareholding Pattern

Stock Health Score

C

Mixed Signals

4.5 / 10

Profitability

8/10

ROE of 8.6% is acceptable for Oil & Gas sector (benchmark: 10%)

Debt & Leverage

10/10

D/E ratio of 0.8x is well within the Oil & Gas sector norm of 1.5x — strong balance sheet

Valuation vs Peers

1/10

P/E of 27.8x is 3.4x the Oil & Gas sector median of 8x — expensive

Cash Flow

2/10

FCF margin of 0.9% — very thin despite positive FCF (₹888 Cr)

Earnings Growth

1/10

5yr EPS CAGR of -73.3% — severe earnings decline

Dividend

6/10

Dividend yield of 2.2% provides moderate shareholder returns

Sentiment Trend — Last 30 Days

Historical Returns

Key Ratios & Growth

FCF Yield

3.0%

Free cash flow / market cap

Revenue Growth (YoY)

+7.0%

Year-on-year revenue change

Profit Growth (YoY)

+1633.8%

Year-on-year PAT change

Operating Cash Flow

₹1.9K Cr

TTM cash from operations

Key Financials

EPS (TTM)

₹6.6

P/E Ratio

27.8x

P/B Ratio

2.4x

ROE

8.6%

ROCE

4.9%

Debt / Equity

0.81x

Beta

0.45

Div Yield

2.2%

FCF (Cr)

₹888 Cr

Revenue (Cr)

₹94,644 Cr

EPS Growth 5Y

-73.3%

Mkt Cap (Cr)

₹31,958 Cr

52W High

₹212.3

52W Low

₹118

Book Value/Share

₹76

Financial History

PeriodRevenueOp ProfitOPM%PATEPS
TTM₹89.3K Cr₹5.6K Cr6.0%₹2.2K Cr₹12.43
2025-03-31₹94.7K Cr₹2.3K Cr2.0%₹56 Cr₹0.32
2024-03-31₹90.4K Cr₹7.9K Cr9.0%₹3.6K Cr₹20.52
2023-03-31₹109.0K Cr₹6.5K Cr6.0%₹2.7K Cr₹15.15
2022-03-31₹69.8K Cr₹4.9K Cr7.0%₹3.0K Cr₹16.88
2021-03-31₹32.0K Cr₹708 Cr2.0%₹-765 Cr₹-4.36
2020-03-31₹50.2K Cr₹-3.1K Cr-6.0%₹-4.0K Cr₹-19.14
2019-03-31₹63.4K Cr₹2.6K Cr4.0%₹351 Cr₹1.94
2018-03-31₹49.1K Cr₹4.5K Cr9.0%₹1.8K Cr₹11.37
2017-03-31₹43.8K Cr₹5.0K Cr11.0%₹3.3K Cr₹19.81
2016-03-31₹39.7K Cr₹1.7K Cr4.0%₹506 Cr₹4.70
2015-03-31₹57.4K Cr₹-2.2K Cr-4.0%₹-1.9K Cr₹-10.29
2014-03-31₹71.6K Cr₹1.0K Cr1.0%₹606 Cr₹3.46

Compounded Growth Rates

Sales Growth

3Y-6.4%
5Y+22.8%
10Y+8.4%

Profit Growth

3Y-6.4%
5Y
10Y+15.7%

EPS Growth

3Y-6.4%
5Y
10Y+10.2%

Peer Comparison

Oil & Gas
StockPriceFair ValueMoS%P/EROESignal

Gulf Oil Lubricants India Limited

₹891₹1,626.9+45.2%12.721.1%UNDERVALUED

GP Petroleums Limited

₹28.7₹44.1+35.0%5.47.4%UNDERVALUED

Magadh Sugar & Energy Limited

₹493₹640.5+23.0%813.9%UNDERVALUED

Oil and Natural Gas Corporation

₹281.4₹330.7+14.9%9.512.2%FAIRLY_VALUED

Avadh Sugar & Energy Limited

₹499₹534.5+6.6%12.88.0%FAIRLY_VALUED

GAIL India

₹143.4₹146.9+2.3%10.99.8%FAIRLY_VALUED

Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited

₹328.9₹333.1+1.3%4.512.3%FAIRLY_VALUED

Mahanagar Gas

₹966.6₹849.5-13.8%9.917.0%FAIRLY_VALUED

Institutional Activity

Bulk deals, block deals, short selling & delivery volume — NSE data

Insider Trading

Community Pulse

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