MRPL

OVERVALUED

Mangalore Refinery and Petrochemicals Limited

Oil & Gas · NSE

53.1% vs fair value

52W Low

120

+23.8% from low

52W High

212

-29.8% from high

News sentiment
16 bull12 neu11 bear

Valuation Gauge

OVERVALUED-53.1% Margin of Safety
OVERVALUEDFAIRLY VALUEDUNDERVALUED

Current Price

₹149

Fair Value

₹97

Fair Value Analysis

₹97

Based on free cash flow projections and balance sheet strength analysis and earnings multiple (EV/EBITDA) for Oil & Gas sector companies | CAUTION: ROCE declining (latest 8.8%) — returns on capital are falling; verify this isn't a value trap. | Growth capped at 9.9% (ROE 8.6%×1.15) — historical CAGR exceeds sustainable rate or COVID period unverifiable. | COVID-resilient: PAT dropped from ₹351Cr (FY2019) to ₹-4043Cr (FY2020) during COVID but has fully recovered.

Medium confidence

Cash Flow Analysis

40% weight

₹151

Balance Sheet Value

20% weight

₹106

EV/EBITDA Multiple

40% weight

₹40

Price vs Market

MRPL
Nifty 50

Shareholding Pattern

Stock Health Score

C

Mixed Signals

5.2 / 10

Profitability

10/10

ROE of 14.2% is above the Oil & Gas sector benchmark of 10% — strong returns

Debt & Leverage

10/10

D/E ratio of 1.1x is well within the Oil & Gas sector norm of 1.5x — strong balance sheet

Valuation vs Peers

1/10

P/E of 22.9x is 2.8x the Oil & Gas sector median of 8x — expensive

Cash Flow

2/10

FCF margin of 1.3% — very thin despite positive FCF (₹1,119 Cr)

Earnings Growth

3/10

5yr EPS CAGR of -10.2% — earnings are declining (sector avg growth: 14.6%)

Dividend

6/10

Dividend yield of 2.7% provides moderate shareholder returns

Company Health Timeline

10-year financial health at a glance

FY17
FY18
FY19
FY20
FY21
FY22
FY23
FY24
FY25
FY26
Revenue Growth
OPM %
Net Profit
Free Cash Flow
ROE %
ROCE %
Debt / Equity
Interest Cov.
Health Score
63
75
38
0
0
75
75
75
25
63
Strong
Moderate
Weak
Poor
No data

Sentiment Trend — Last 30 Days

Historical Returns

Key Ratios & Growth

FCF Yield

4.4%

Free cash flow / market cap

Revenue Growth (YoY)

+7.0%

Year-on-year revenue change

Profit Growth (YoY)

+1633.8%

Year-on-year PAT change

Operating Cash Flow

₹2.5K Cr

TTM cash from operations

Key Financials

EPS (TTM)

₹6.6

P/E Ratio

22.9x

P/B Ratio

1.8x

ROE

14.2%

ROCE

19.3%

Debt / Equity

1.08x

Beta

0.3

Div Yield

2.7%

FCF (Cr)

₹1,119 Cr

Revenue (Cr)

₹88,667 Cr

EPS Growth 5Y

-10.2%

Mkt Cap (Cr)

₹26,345 Cr

52W High

₹212.3

52W Low

₹120.4

Book Value/Share

₹81.3

Financial History

PeriodRevenueOp ProfitOPM%PATEPS
2026-03-31₹88.7K Cr₹6.2K Cr7.0%₹1.9K Cr₹10.98
2025-03-31₹94.7K Cr₹2.3K Cr2.0%₹56 Cr₹0.32
2024-03-31₹90.4K Cr₹7.9K Cr9.0%₹3.6K Cr₹20.52
2023-03-31₹109.0K Cr₹6.5K Cr6.0%₹2.7K Cr₹15.15
2022-03-31₹69.8K Cr₹4.9K Cr7.0%₹3.0K Cr₹16.88
2021-03-31₹32.0K Cr₹708 Cr2.0%₹-765 Cr₹-4.36
2020-03-31₹50.2K Cr₹-3.1K Cr-6.0%₹-4.0K Cr₹-19.14
2019-03-31₹63.4K Cr₹2.6K Cr4.0%₹351 Cr₹1.94
2018-03-31₹49.1K Cr₹4.5K Cr9.0%₹1.8K Cr₹11.37
2017-03-31₹43.8K Cr₹5.0K Cr11.0%₹3.3K Cr₹19.81
2016-03-31₹39.7K Cr₹1.7K Cr4.0%₹506 Cr₹4.70
2015-03-31₹57.4K Cr₹-2.2K Cr-4.0%₹-1.9K Cr₹-10.29

Compounded Growth Rates

Sales Growth

3Y-6.7%
5Y+22.6%
10Y+8.4%

Profit Growth

3Y-10.2%
5Y
10Y+14.3%

EPS Growth

3Y-10.2%
5Y
10Y+8.9%

Peer Comparison

Oil & Gas
StockPriceFair ValueMoS%P/EROESignal

Gulf Oil Lubricants India Limited

₹899₹1,591.1+43.5%13.421.1%UNDERVALUED

Magadh Sugar & Energy Limited

₹473₹640.5+26.1%7.713.9%UNDERVALUED

GP Petroleums Limited

₹32.8₹44.1+25.7%6.67.4%UNDERVALUED

Avadh Sugar & Energy Limited

₹465₹534.5+13.0%138.0%FAIRLY_VALUED

Oil and Natural Gas Corporation

₹290₹330.7+12.3%9.912.2%FAIRLY_VALUED

GAIL India

₹162.2₹146.8-10.5%12.49.8%FAIRLY_VALUED

Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited

₹389.8₹333.1-17.0%4.330.9%FAIRLY_VALUED

Bharat Petroleum

₹295.9₹231.3-27.9%4.915.6%OVERVALUED

Institutional Activity

Bulk deals, block deals, short selling & delivery volume — NSE data

Insider Trading

Community Pulse

Exchange Filings

BSE announcements · last 90 days

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