ONGC

FAIRLY_VALUED

Oil and Natural Gas Corporation

Oil & Gas · NSE

14.9% vs fair value

52W Low

205

+37.2% from low

52W High

293

-4.0% from high

News sentiment (10 articles)
5 bull5 neutral0 bear

Valuation Gauge

FAIRLY_VALUED+14.9% Margin of Safety
OVERVALUEDFAIRLY VALUEDUNDERVALUED

Current Price

₹281

Fair Value

₹331

Fair Value Analysis

₹331

Based on free cash flow projections and balance sheet strength analysis and earnings multiple (EV/EBITDA) for Oil & Gas sector companies | Sector-cheap: P/E at 9th percentile vs sector peers. | CAUTION: ROCE declining (latest 16.7%) — returns on capital are falling; verify this isn't a value trap. | COVID-resilient: PAT dropped from ₹33938Cr (FY2019) to ₹11456Cr (FY2020) during COVID but has fully recovered.

Medium confidence

Cash Flow Analysis

40% weight

₹651

Balance Sheet Value

20% weight

₹408

EV/EBITDA Multiple

40% weight

₹179

Price vs Market

ONGC
Nifty 50

Shareholding Pattern

Stock Health Score

B

Solid Fundamentals

6.8 / 10

Profitability

10/10

ROE of 12.2% is above the Oil & Gas sector benchmark of 10% — strong returns

Debt & Leverage

10/10

D/E ratio of 0.4x is well within the Oil & Gas sector norm of 1.5x — strong balance sheet

Valuation vs Peers

4/10

P/E of 9.5x is 16% above the Oil & Gas sector median of 8x — slightly expensive

Cash Flow

6/10

FCF margin of 5.8% — healthy cash generation (₹35,192 Cr)

Earnings Growth

3/10

5yr EPS CAGR of -7.3% — earnings are declining (sector avg growth: 14.6%)

Dividend

9/10

Dividend yield of 6.5% provides strong shareholder returns (benchmark: 3.0%)

Sentiment Trend — Last 30 Days

Historical Returns

Key Ratios & Growth

FCF Yield

11.2%

Free cash flow / market cap

Revenue Growth (YoY)

+0.1%

Year-on-year revenue change

Profit Growth (YoY)

+22.6%

Year-on-year PAT change

Operating Cash Flow

₹90.9K Cr

TTM cash from operations

Key Financials

EPS (TTM)

₹30.1

P/E Ratio

9.5x

P/B Ratio

1.2x

ROE

12.2%

ROCE

10.9%

Debt / Equity

0.44x

Beta

0.19

Div Yield

6.6%

FCF (Cr)

₹35,192 Cr

Revenue (Cr)

₹6,08,951 Cr

EPS Growth 5Y

-7.3%

Mkt Cap (Cr)

₹3,61,306 Cr

52W High

₹293

52W Low

₹205

Book Value/Share

₹245.1

Financial History

PeriodRevenueOp ProfitOPM%PATEPS
TTM₹659.3K Cr₹99.6K Cr15.0%₹45.0K Cr₹30.14
2025-03-31₹612.1K Cr₹88.9K Cr15.0%₹38.3K Cr₹28.80
2024-03-31₹601.6K Cr₹102.4K Cr17.0%₹55.3K Cr₹39.06
2023-03-31₹632.3K Cr₹75.5K Cr12.0%₹32.8K Cr₹28.17
2022-03-31₹491.2K Cr₹79.9K Cr16.0%₹49.3K Cr₹36.19
2021-03-31₹303.8K Cr₹49.5K Cr16.0%₹21.4K Cr₹12.96
2020-03-31₹396.7K Cr₹52.1K Cr13.0%₹11.5K Cr₹8.59
2019-03-31₹421.6K Cr₹74.8K Cr18.0%₹33.9K Cr₹24.28
2018-03-31₹322.7K Cr₹56.9K Cr18.0%₹26.1K Cr₹17.23
2017-03-31₹282.5K Cr₹52.8K Cr19.0%₹29.2K Cr₹19.03
2016-03-31₹124.0K Cr₹39.1K Cr32.0%₹13.1K Cr₹10.03
2015-03-31₹160.9K Cr₹42.3K Cr26.0%₹17.7K Cr₹14.29
2014-03-31₹174.1K Cr₹49.1K Cr28.0%₹26.7K Cr₹20.65

Compounded Growth Rates

Sales Growth

3Y+1.4%
5Y+16.8%
10Y+18.2%

Profit Growth

3Y+11.1%
5Y+16.1%
10Y+13.1%

EPS Growth

3Y+2.3%
5Y+18.4%
10Y+11.6%

Peer Comparison

Oil & Gas
StockPriceFair ValueMoS%P/EROESignal

Gulf Oil Lubricants India Limited

₹891₹1,626.9+45.2%12.721.1%UNDERVALUED

GP Petroleums Limited

₹28.7₹44.1+35.0%5.47.4%UNDERVALUED

Magadh Sugar & Energy Limited

₹493₹640.5+23.0%813.9%UNDERVALUED

Oil and Natural Gas Corporation

₹281.4₹330.7+14.9%9.512.2%FAIRLY_VALUED

Avadh Sugar & Energy Limited

₹499₹534.5+6.6%12.88.0%FAIRLY_VALUED

GAIL India

₹143.4₹146.9+2.3%10.99.8%FAIRLY_VALUED

Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited

₹328.9₹333.1+1.3%4.512.3%FAIRLY_VALUED

Mahanagar Gas

₹966.6₹849.5-13.8%9.917.0%FAIRLY_VALUED

Institutional Activity

Bulk deals, block deals, short selling & delivery volume — NSE data

Insider Trading

Community Pulse

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