Dashboard/AVADHSUGAR

AVADHSUGAR

FAIRLY_VALUED

Avadh Sugar & Energy Limited

Oil & Gas · NSE

6.6% vs fair value

52W Low

306

+63.0% from low

52W High

584

-14.6% from high

News sentiment (1 articles)
0 bull0 neutral1 bear

Valuation Gauge

FAIRLY_VALUED+6.6% Margin of Safety
OVERVALUEDFAIRLY VALUEDUNDERVALUED

Current Price

₹499

Fair Value

₹534

Fair Value Analysis

₹534

Based on free cash flow projections and balance sheet strength analysis and earnings multiple (EV/EBITDA) for Oil & Gas sector companies | Sector-cheap: P/E at 17th percentile vs sector peers. | CAUTION: ROCE declining (latest 11.2%) — returns on capital are falling; verify this isn't a value trap.

Medium confidence

Cash Flow Analysis

40% weight

₹576

Balance Sheet Value

20% weight

₹703

EV/EBITDA Multiple

40% weight

₹409

Price vs Market

AVADHSUGAR
Nifty 50

Shareholding Pattern

Stock Health Score

C

Mixed Signals

5 / 10

Profitability

8/10

ROE of 8.0% is acceptable for Oil & Gas sector (benchmark: 10%)

Debt & Leverage

10/10

D/E ratio of 0.6x is well within the Oil & Gas sector norm of 1.5x — strong balance sheet

Valuation vs Peers

2/10

P/E of 11.0x trades at a significant premium to Oil & Gas sector median (8x)

Cash Flow

2/10

FCF margin of 1.8% — very thin despite positive FCF (₹47 Cr)

Earnings Growth

3/10

5yr EPS CAGR of -10.9% — earnings are declining (sector avg growth: 14.6%)

Dividend

6/10

Dividend yield of 2.1% provides moderate shareholder returns

Sentiment Trend — Last 30 Days

Historical Returns

Key Ratios & Growth

FCF Yield

5.8%

Free cash flow / market cap

Revenue Growth (YoY)

-12.5%

Year-on-year revenue change

Profit Growth (YoY)

+536.3%

Year-on-year PAT change

Operating Cash Flow

₹154 Cr

TTM cash from operations

Key Financials

EPS (TTM)

₹42.3

P/E Ratio

11x

P/B Ratio

0.9x

ROE

8%

ROCE

14.8%

Debt / Equity

0.56x

Beta

0.05

Div Yield

2%

FCF (Cr)

₹47 Cr

Revenue (Cr)

₹2,628 Cr

EPS Growth 5Y

-10.9%

Mkt Cap (Cr)

₹937 Cr

52W High

₹584.3

52W Low

₹306.1

Book Value/Share

₹520

Financial History

PeriodRevenueOp ProfitOPM%PATEPS
TTM₹2.7K Cr₹251 Cr9.0%₹73 Cr₹36.66
2025-03-31₹2.6K Cr₹276 Cr10.0%₹88 Cr₹43.93
2024-03-31₹2.7K Cr₹330 Cr12.0%₹128 Cr₹64.00
2023-03-31₹2.8K Cr₹255 Cr9.0%₹100 Cr₹50.07
2022-03-31₹2.7K Cr₹303 Cr11.0%₹124 Cr₹62.15
2021-03-31₹2.7K Cr₹260 Cr10.0%₹78 Cr₹38.75
2020-03-31₹2.6K Cr₹262 Cr10.0%₹89 Cr₹44.27
2019-03-31₹2.1K Cr₹292 Cr14.0%₹120 Cr₹59.94
2018-03-31₹2.3K Cr₹270 Cr12.0%₹88 Cr₹44.08
2017-03-31₹1.9K Cr₹432 Cr23.0%₹203 Cr₹101.66
2016-03-31₹0 Cr₹0 Cr₹0 Cr

Compounded Growth Rates

Sales Growth

3Y-1.2%
5Y-0.1%
10Y

Profit Growth

3Y-10.0%
5Y-1.3%
10Y

EPS Growth

3Y-9.9%
5Y-1.1%
10Y

Peer Comparison

Oil & Gas
StockPriceFair ValueMoS%P/EROESignal

Gulf Oil Lubricants India Limited

₹891₹1,626.9+45.2%12.721.1%UNDERVALUED

GP Petroleums Limited

₹28.7₹44.1+35.0%5.47.4%UNDERVALUED

Magadh Sugar & Energy Limited

₹493₹640.5+23.0%813.9%UNDERVALUED

Oil and Natural Gas Corporation

₹281.4₹330.7+14.9%9.512.2%FAIRLY_VALUED

Avadh Sugar & Energy Limited

₹499₹534.5+6.6%12.88.0%FAIRLY_VALUED

GAIL India

₹143.4₹146.9+2.3%10.99.8%FAIRLY_VALUED

Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited

₹328.9₹333.1+1.3%4.512.3%FAIRLY_VALUED

Mahanagar Gas

₹966.6₹849.5-13.8%9.917.0%FAIRLY_VALUED

Institutional Activity

Bulk deals, block deals, short selling & delivery volume — NSE data

Insider Trading

Community Pulse

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