Dashboard/TIMKEN

TIMKEN

OVERVALUED

Timken India

Capital Goods · NSE

↓ 234.5% vs fair value

52W Low

₹2,202

+50.8% from low

52W High

₹3,610

-8.0% from high

News sentiment (3 articles)

0 bull3 neutral0 bear

✦

Analyst Note

2d ago

Timken India is trading at ₹3,320, significantly overvalued relative to its fair value of ₹992.4, with a concerning margin of safety of -227.5%. The stock carries a stretched PE ratio of 58.1x and elevated PB ratio of 9.1x, despite earnings declining 26.6% year-on-year, though revenue grew 16.1% and ROCE stands healthy at 19.1%. Sentiment remains neutral across both one-week and one-month periods with low valuation confidence due to thin data. This profile suits risk-aware investors who can tolerate significant downside potential in exchange for exposure to a capital goods player with strong cash generation and minimal debt.

Valuation Gauge

OVERVALUED-234.5% Margin of Safety

OVERVALUEDFAIRLY VALUEDUNDERVALUED

Current Price

₹3,320

Fair Value

₹992

Fair Value Analysis

₹992

Based on earnings growth potential for Capital Goods sector companies

Low confidence

Growth Valuation

100% weight

₹992

Price vs Market

TIMKEN

Nifty 50

Shareholding Pattern

Stock Health Score

Solid Fundamentals

5.8 / 10

Profitability

5/10

EPS of ₹49.6 — ROE data unavailable for full scoring

Debt & Leverage

10/10

D/E ratio of 0.0x is well within the Capital Goods sector norm of 2.0x — strong balance sheet

Valuation vs Peers

10/10

P/E of 66.7x trades at a 41% discount to Capital Goods sector median (112x) — attractively valued

Cash Flow

2/10

FCF margin of 0.3% — very thin despite positive FCF (₹10 Cr)

Earnings Growth

4/10

5yr EPS CAGR of 11.0% is well below Capital Goods sector average of 42.2%

Dividend

6/10

Dividend yield of 1.1% provides moderate shareholder returns

Sentiment Trend — Last 30 Days

Historical Returns

Key Ratios & Growth

Revenue Growth (YoY)

+14.5%

Year-on-year revenue change

Profit Growth (YoY)

+46.9%

Year-on-year PAT change

Key Financials

EPS (TTM)

₹49.6

P/E Ratio

66.7x

P/B Ratio

9.1x

ROE

—

ROCE

19.1%

Debt / Equity

0.01x

Beta

0.33

Div Yield

1.1%

FCF (Cr)

₹10 Cr

Revenue (Cr)

₹3,134 Cr

EPS Growth 5Y

11%

Mkt Cap (Cr)

₹25,230 Cr

52W High

₹3,610

52W Low

₹2,202

Book Value/Share

₹367.8

Financial History

Period	Revenue	Op Profit	OPM%	PAT	EPS
2025-03-31	₹3.2K Cr	₹608 Cr	19.0%	₹462 Cr	₹61.45

Compounded Growth Rates

Sales Growth

3Y—

5Y—

10Y—

Profit Growth

3Y—

5Y—

10Y—

EPS Growth

3Y—

5Y—

10Y—

Peer Comparison

Capital Goods

Stock	Price	Fair Value	MoS%	P/E	ROE	Signal
VESUVIUS Vesuvius India Limited	₹456.9	₹1,335.2	+65.8%	35.2	17.1%	UNDERVALUED
ELECTCAST Electrosteel Castings Limited	₹78.8	₹228.8	+65.5%	15.7	13.2%	UNDERVALUED
RECLTD REC	₹327.4	₹690	+52.5%	5	21.5%	UNDERVALUED
SURYAROSNI Surya Roshni Limited	₹209.2	₹342.1	+38.9%	14.9	12.8%	FAIRLY_VALUED
SHAKTIPUMP Shakti Pumps (India) Limited	₹510.3	₹695.5	+26.6%	18.3	19.1%	UNDERVALUED
AGI AGI Greenpac Limited	₹499.8	₹664.9	+24.8%	9.8	13.3%	UNDERVALUED
PFC Power Finance Corporation	₹406	₹539.7	+24.8%	5.3	12.4%	UNDERVALUED
OSWALPUMPS Oswal Pumps Limited	₹336	₹395.6	+15.1%	36.4	23.3%	FAIRLY_VALUED