Dashboard/SENCO

SENCO

FAIRLY_VALUED

Senco Gold Limited

Consumer Durables · NSE

↑ 64.9% vs fair value

52W Low

₹276

+16.1% from low

52W High

₹406

-21.0% from high

News sentiment (5 articles)

4 bull1 neutral0 bear

✦

Analyst Note

2d ago

Senco Gold trades at ₹320.5 against a fair value of ₹913.61, appearing fairly valued with a 69% margin of safety, though medium confidence applies. The company shows strong near-term momentum with 46.1% revenue growth and 659.4% earnings growth over one year, but faces structural concerns including negative free cash flow of ₹259 Cr, deteriorating ROCE at 15.3%, and earnings quality flagged as "paper profits" with a weak Piotroski score of 5. High leverage at 1.17x debt-to-equity and just 7.3% five-year earnings growth suggest sustainability risks. Suited for investors comfortable with cyclical, capital-heavy plays seeking valuation bargains in a cheap sector.

Valuation Gauge

FAIRLY_VALUED+64.9% Margin of Safety

OVERVALUEDFAIRLY VALUEDUNDERVALUED

Current Price

₹321

Fair Value

₹914

Fair Value Analysis

₹914

Based on balance sheet strength analysis and earnings growth potential for Consumer Durables sector companies | Sector-cheap: P/E at 3th percentile vs sector peers. | CAUTION: ROCE declining (latest 9.5%) — returns on capital are falling; verify this isn't a value trap. | Growth capped at 26.2% (ROE 22.8%×1.15) — historical CAGR exceeds sustainable rate or COVID period unverifiable.

Medium confidence

Balance Sheet Value

50% weight

₹291

Growth Valuation

50% weight

₹1,536

Price vs Market

SENCO

Nifty 50

Technical Pulse

Plain English — no jargon

RSI 39.4Neutral

52-week range-18.2% from high

L 276H 353.2

20-day avg₹293▼ 1.6%

📍

Price PositionNeutral

Not enough price history to assess trend.

💪

Momentum (RSI)Oversold

RSI is 39 — oversold territory. Selling pressure is high but may be slowing.

📈

Short-term TrendNeutral

Insufficient data for short-term trend.

→Combined Verdict

Fairly valued with neutral momentum. Hold if you own it. No urgent reason to buy or sell.

Shareholding Pattern

Stock Health Score

Solid Fundamentals

6 / 10

Profitability

10/10

ROE of 22.8% is above the Consumer Durables sector benchmark of 18% — strong returns

Debt & Leverage

6/10

D/E ratio of 1.2x is manageable for Consumer Durables sector (norm: 0.8x)

Valuation vs Peers

10/10

P/E of 9.9x trades at a 80% discount to Consumer Durables sector median (51x) — attractively valued

Cash Flow

1/10

Negative FCF of ₹-259 Cr — company is consuming more cash than it generates

Earnings Growth

4/10

5yr EPS CAGR of 7.3% is well below Consumer Durables sector average of 16.9%

Dividend

6/10

Dividend yield of 0.6% provides moderate shareholder returns

Sentiment Trend — Last 30 Days

Historical Returns

Key Ratios & Growth

FCF Yield

-5.3%

Free cash flow / market cap

Revenue Growth (YoY)

+50.1%

Year-on-year revenue change

Profit Growth (YoY)

+700.0%

Year-on-year PAT change

Operating Cash Flow

₹-221 Cr

TTM cash from operations

Key Financials

EPS (TTM)

₹29.3

P/E Ratio

9.9x

P/B Ratio

2.3x

ROE

22.8%

ROCE

15.3%

Debt / Equity

1.17x

Beta

0.37

Div Yield

0.5%

FCF (Cr)

₹-259 Cr

Revenue (Cr)

₹6,318 Cr

EPS Growth 5Y

7.3%

Mkt Cap (Cr)

₹4,731 Cr

52W High

₹405.7

52W Low

₹276

Book Value/Share

₹128.7

Financial History

Period	Revenue	Op Profit	OPM%	PAT	EPS
TTM	₹7.8K Cr	₹822 Cr	11.0%	₹480 Cr	₹29.31
2025-03-31	₹6.3K Cr	₹381 Cr	6.0%	₹159 Cr	₹9.73
2024-03-31	₹5.2K Cr	₹389 Cr	7.0%	₹181 Cr	₹11.65
2023-03-31	₹4.1K Cr	₹329 Cr	8.0%	₹158 Cr	₹14.19
2022-03-31	₹3.5K Cr	₹287 Cr	8.0%	₹129 Cr	₹12.13
2021-03-31	₹2.7K Cr	₹182 Cr	7.0%	₹61 Cr	₹5.78
2015-03-31	₹1.4K Cr	₹80 Cr	6.0%	₹36 Cr	₹10.07
2014-03-31	₹1.3K Cr	₹70 Cr	5.0%	₹36 Cr	₹10.25

Compounded Growth Rates

Sales Growth

3Y+24.2%

5Y+24.0%

10Y—

Profit Growth

3Y+44.8%

5Y+51.1%

10Y—

EPS Growth

3Y+27.4%

5Y+38.4%

10Y—

Peer Comparison

Consumer Durables

Stock	Price	Fair Value	MoS%	P/E	ROE	Signal
SENCO Senco Gold Limited	₹320.5	₹913.6	+64.9%	9.8	22.8%	FAIRLY_VALUED
PCJEWELLER PC Jeweller Limited	₹8.5	₹17.2	+50.5%	11.7	9.1%	FAIRLY_VALUED
BATAINDIA Bata India	₹669	₹1,308.2	+48.9%	47.4	15.0%	FAIRLY_VALUED
PNGJL P N Gadgil Jewellers Limited	₹578.5	₹864.8	+33.1%	19.5	22.4%	UNDERVALUED
WHIRLPOOL Whirlpool of India Limited	₹820	₹1,106.8	+25.9%	31.1	8.2%	UNDERVALUED
BAJAJELEC Bajaj Electricals	₹353.5	₹382.9	+7.7%	113.8	6.6%	FAIRLY_VALUED
CERA Cera Sanitaryware Limited	₹4,796	₹4,154	-15.5%	28.4	17.7%	FAIRLY_VALUED
VAIBHAVGBL Vaibhav Global Limited	₹191.6	₹160.5	-19.4%	15.2	14.5%	FAIRLY_VALUED

Institutional Activity

Bulk deals, block deals, short selling & delivery volume — NSE data

Insider Trading

Community Pulse

What is Dalal Street saying?

r/IndiaInvestments · r/Dalal_Street_Investments · r/IndianStockMarket

No Reddit mentions found yet for SENCO.

StockTwits

What traders are saying right now

StockTwits

No StockTwits activity found for SENCO.

Search Interest

Google Trends · India · Last 90 days"Senco Gold"

Trends

Interest score (0 = low, 100 = peak)

90-day trend

↓

Telegram Channels

ET Markets · CNBC TV18 · Moneycontrol · Zee Business · NDTV Profit

No Telegram mentions found yet for SENCO.

18 articles

Senco Gold: Record Growth Amid Deep Stock Discount - Whalesbook

Google News: SENCO·1d ago

▲ BULLISH

Senco Gold Reports 46% YoY Revenue Growth in Q4 FY26 with Strong Showroom Expansion - scanx.trade

Google News: SENCO·2d ago

▲ BULLISH

Senco Gold Posts Strong FY26 Growth, Maps Aggressive Expansion for FY27 - TipRanks

Google News: SENCO·2d ago

▲ BULLISH

Senco Gold Ltd Reports Strong Quarterly Financial Turnaround Amid Market Volatility - Markets Mojo

Google News: SENCO·3d ago

▲ BULLISH

Senco Gold Limited Files Q4 FY26 Compliance Certificate Under SEBI Regulations - scanx.trade

Google News: SENCO·4d ago

– NEUTRAL

Senco Gold Ltd is Rated Hold by MarketsMOJO - Markets Mojo

Google News: SENCO·8d ago

Senco Gold Ltd is Rated Hold by MarketsMOJO - marketsmojo.com

Google News: SENCO·11d ago

Senco Gold Receives CARE A+ Credit Rating for ₹3000 Crore Banking Facilities and Fixed Deposit Programme - scanx.trade

Google News: SENCO·12d ago

Senco Gold Limited Shareholders Approve Commission Payment to Non-Executive Directors via Postal Ballot - scanx.trade

Google News: SENCO·13d ago

Kalyan Jewellers, Titan to Senco Gold: Is it wise to buy jewellery stocks amid rising gold prices, India-US trade deal? - MSN

Google News: SENCO·16d ago

Kalyan Jewellers, Titan to Senco Gold: Is it wise to buy jewellery stocks amid rising gold prices, India-US trade deal? - MSN

Google News: SENCO·16d ago

Promoters Buy Raymond, Senco Gold, Rashi Shares Amid Sector Headwinds - Whalesbook

Google News: SENCO·17d ago

Raymond, Senco Gold, Rashi Peripherals: Promoters ne diya confidence boost! Kya hai agenda? - Whalesbook

Google News: SENCO·17d ago

Kalyan Jewellers, Titan to Senco Gold: Is it wise to buy jewellery stocks amid rising gold prices, India-US trade deal? - MSN

Google News: SENCO·19d ago

Senco Gold Shares Hit Upper Circuit As Q4 Profit Doubles - MSN

Google News: SENCO·19d ago

Senco Gold Shares Hit Upper Circuit As Q4 Profit Doubles - MSN

Google News: SENCO·19d ago

Senco Gold Ltd is Rated Hold by MarketsMOJO - Markets Mojo

Google News: SENCO·19d ago

Senco Gold shares climbed 40% in a month; what should existing investors do? - MSN

Google News: SENCO·23d ago

Company Documents

Annual reports, concall transcripts & regulatory filings

📄

Annual Reports

Last 10 years of annual reports via Screener.in

↗🎙️

Concall Transcripts

Quarterly earnings call transcripts & investor presentations

↗🏛️

NSE Filings

Board meeting outcomes, shareholding patterns, corporate actions

↗📊

Balance Sheet & Cash Flow

10-year financial statements on Screener.in

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