IOC

OVERVALUED

Indian Oil Corporation

Oil & Gas · NSE

100.3% vs fair value

52W Low

122

+9.6% from low

52W High

189

-29.0% from high

News sentiment (6 articles)
1 bull1 neutral4 bear

Valuation Gauge

OVERVALUED-100.3% Margin of Safety
OVERVALUEDFAIRLY VALUEDUNDERVALUED

Current Price

₹134

Fair Value

₹67

Fair Value Analysis

₹67

Based on free cash flow projections and balance sheet strength analysis and earnings multiple (EV/EBITDA) for Oil & Gas sector companies | Sector-cheap: P/E at 23th percentile vs sector peers. | CAUTION: ROCE declining (latest 10.6%) — returns on capital are falling; verify this isn't a value trap. | COVID-resilient: PAT dropped from ₹17274Cr (FY2019) to ₹-1876Cr (FY2020) during COVID but has fully recovered.

Medium confidence

Cash Flow Analysis

40% weight

₹41

Balance Sheet Value

20% weight

₹187

EV/EBITDA Multiple

40% weight

₹74

Price vs Market

IOC
Nifty 50

Shareholding Pattern

Stock Health Score

C

Mixed Signals

5.1 / 10

Profitability

8/10

ROE of 8.1% is acceptable for Oil & Gas sector (benchmark: 10%)

Debt & Leverage

10/10

D/E ratio of 0.7x is well within the Oil & Gas sector norm of 1.5x — strong balance sheet

Valuation vs Peers

2/10

P/E of 11.6x trades at a significant premium to Oil & Gas sector median (8x)

Cash Flow

1/10

Negative FCF of ₹-151 Cr — company is consuming more cash than it generates

Earnings Growth

3/10

5yr EPS CAGR of -18.5% — earnings are declining (sector avg growth: 14.6%)

Dividend

9/10

Dividend yield of 7.4% provides strong shareholder returns (benchmark: 3.0%)

Sentiment Trend — Last 30 Days

Historical Returns

Key Ratios & Growth

FCF Yield

1.4%

Free cash flow / market cap

Revenue Growth (YoY)

+1.8%

Year-on-year revenue change

Profit Growth (YoY)

+83.0%

Year-on-year PAT change

Operating Cash Flow

₹34.7K Cr

TTM cash from operations

Key Financials

EPS (TTM)

₹11.6

P/E Ratio

11.6x

P/B Ratio

1x

ROE

8.1%

ROCE

9.3%

Debt / Equity

0.73x

Beta

0.94

Div Yield

7.5%

FCF (Cr)

₹-151 Cr

Revenue (Cr)

₹7,54,568 Cr

EPS Growth 5Y

-18.5%

Mkt Cap (Cr)

₹1,89,408 Cr

52W High

₹189

52W Low

₹122.4

Book Value/Share

₹134.4

Financial History

PeriodRevenueOp ProfitOPM%PATEPS
TTM₹771.4K Cr₹67.3K Cr9.0%₹36.9K Cr₹25.33
2025-03-31₹758.1K Cr₹36.0K Cr5.0%₹13.8K Cr₹9.63
2024-03-31₹776.4K Cr₹75.7K Cr10.0%₹43.2K Cr₹29.55
2023-03-31₹841.8K Cr₹30.7K Cr4.0%₹11.7K Cr₹6.93
2022-03-31₹589.3K Cr₹47.8K Cr8.0%₹25.7K Cr₹17.78
2021-03-31₹363.9K Cr₹39.9K Cr11.0%₹21.8K Cr₹15.32
2020-03-31₹483.8K Cr₹16.1K Cr3.0%₹-1.9K Cr₹-0.63
2019-03-31₹528.2K Cr₹35.3K Cr7.0%₹17.3K Cr₹12.31
2018-03-31₹421.5K Cr₹41.7K Cr10.0%₹22.6K Cr₹15.23
2017-03-31₹355.4K Cr₹34.1K Cr10.0%₹20.4K Cr₹13.63
2016-03-31₹346.0K Cr₹22.0K Cr6.0%₹12.4K Cr₹8.25
2015-03-31₹449.5K Cr₹10.6K Cr2.0%₹4.9K Cr₹3.37
2014-03-31₹488.3K Cr₹17.2K Cr4.0%₹7.0K Cr₹4.86

Compounded Growth Rates

Sales Growth

3Y-2.9%
5Y+16.2%
10Y+8.3%

Profit Growth

3Y+46.6%
5Y+11.1%
10Y+11.5%

EPS Growth

3Y+54.0%
5Y+10.6%
10Y+11.9%

Peer Comparison

Oil & Gas
StockPriceFair ValueMoS%P/EROESignal

Gulf Oil Lubricants India Limited

₹891₹1,626.9+45.2%12.721.1%UNDERVALUED

GP Petroleums Limited

₹28.7₹44.1+35.0%5.47.4%UNDERVALUED

Magadh Sugar & Energy Limited

₹493₹640.5+23.0%813.9%UNDERVALUED

Oil and Natural Gas Corporation

₹281.4₹330.7+14.9%9.512.2%FAIRLY_VALUED

Avadh Sugar & Energy Limited

₹499₹534.5+6.6%12.88.0%FAIRLY_VALUED

GAIL India

₹143.4₹146.9+2.3%10.99.8%FAIRLY_VALUED

Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited

₹328.9₹333.1+1.3%4.512.3%FAIRLY_VALUED

Mahanagar Gas

₹966.6₹849.5-13.8%9.917.0%FAIRLY_VALUED

Institutional Activity

Bulk deals, block deals, short selling & delivery volume — NSE data

Insider Trading

Community Pulse

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