HPL

OVERVALUED

HPL Electric & Power Limited

Oil & Gas · NSE

53.0% vs fair value

52W Low

256

+16.2% from low

52W High

640

-53.6% from high

News sentiment (3 articles)
2 bull0 neutral1 bear

Valuation Gauge

OVERVALUED-53.0% Margin of Safety
OVERVALUEDFAIRLY VALUEDUNDERVALUED

Current Price

₹297

Fair Value

₹194

Fair Value Analysis

₹194

Based on free cash flow projections and balance sheet strength analysis and earnings multiple (EV/EBITDA) for Oil & Gas sector companies | ROCE improving (latest 16.4%) — capital allocation becoming more efficient. | COVID-resilient: PAT dropped from ₹33Cr (FY2019) to ₹8Cr (FY2022) during COVID but has fully recovered.

High confidence

Cash Flow Analysis

40% weight

₹281

Balance Sheet Value

20% weight

₹177

EV/EBITDA Multiple

40% weight

₹116

Price vs Market

HPL
Nifty 50

Shareholding Pattern

Stock Health Score

B

Solid Fundamentals

6.5 / 10

Profitability

8/10

ROE of 6.5% is acceptable for Oil & Gas sector (benchmark: 10%)

Debt & Leverage

10/10

D/E ratio of 0.8x is well within the Oil & Gas sector norm of 1.5x — strong balance sheet

Valuation vs Peers

1/10

P/E of 30.9x is 3.8x the Oil & Gas sector median of 8x — expensive

Cash Flow

4/10

FCF margin of 3.5% — thin cash generation, watch capex trends

Earnings Growth

10/10

5yr EPS CAGR of 129.3% is well above the Oil & Gas sector average of 14.6% — strong growth

Dividend

4/10

Dividend yield of 0.3% is symbolic — low but positive

Sentiment Trend — Last 30 Days

Historical Returns

Key Ratios & Growth

FCF Yield

3.4%

Free cash flow / market cap

Revenue Growth (YoY)

+5.9%

Year-on-year revenue change

Profit Growth (YoY)

-21.4%

Year-on-year PAT change

Operating Cash Flow

₹138 Cr

TTM cash from operations

Key Financials

EPS (TTM)

₹9.7

P/E Ratio

30.9x

P/B Ratio

2.1x

ROE

6.5%

ROCE

20.8%

Debt / Equity

0.77x

Beta

0.45

Div Yield

0.3%

FCF (Cr)

₹59 Cr

Revenue (Cr)

₹1,700 Cr

EPS Growth 5Y

129.3%

Mkt Cap (Cr)

₹1,913 Cr

52W High

₹639.9

52W Low

₹255.6

Book Value/Share

₹144.2

Financial History

PeriodRevenueOp ProfitOPM%PATEPS
TTM₹1.8K Cr₹278 Cr16.0%₹98 Cr₹15.13
2025-03-31₹1.7K Cr₹255 Cr15.0%₹94 Cr₹14.58
2024-03-31₹1.5K Cr₹193 Cr13.0%₹44 Cr₹6.77
2023-03-31₹1.3K Cr₹157 Cr12.0%₹30 Cr₹4.69
2022-03-31₹1.0K Cr₹125 Cr12.0%₹8 Cr₹1.21
2021-03-31₹875 Cr₹119 Cr14.0%₹10 Cr₹1.55
2020-03-31₹977 Cr₹126 Cr13.0%₹22 Cr₹3.39
2019-03-31₹1.2K Cr₹134 Cr12.0%₹33 Cr₹5.06
2018-03-31₹1.0K Cr₹110 Cr11.0%₹28 Cr₹4.27
2017-03-31₹986 Cr₹124 Cr13.0%₹26 Cr₹4.01
2016-03-31₹1.1K Cr₹141 Cr13.0%₹37 Cr₹7.89
2015-03-31₹1.0K Cr₹125 Cr12.0%₹35 Cr₹18.64
2014-03-31₹1.0K Cr₹105 Cr10.0%₹28 Cr₹15.28

Compounded Growth Rates

Sales Growth

3Y+12.2%
5Y+15.3%
10Y+4.8%

Profit Growth

3Y+48.4%
5Y+57.9%
10Y+10.2%

EPS Growth

3Y+47.8%
5Y+57.7%
10Y+6.7%

Peer Comparison

Oil & Gas
StockPriceFair ValueMoS%P/EROESignal

Gulf Oil Lubricants India Limited

₹891₹1,626.9+45.2%12.721.1%UNDERVALUED

GP Petroleums Limited

₹28.7₹44.1+35.0%5.47.4%UNDERVALUED

Magadh Sugar & Energy Limited

₹493₹640.5+23.0%813.9%UNDERVALUED

Oil and Natural Gas Corporation

₹281.4₹330.7+14.9%9.512.2%FAIRLY_VALUED

Avadh Sugar & Energy Limited

₹499₹534.5+6.6%12.88.0%FAIRLY_VALUED

GAIL India

₹143.4₹146.9+2.3%10.99.8%FAIRLY_VALUED

Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited

₹328.9₹333.1+1.3%4.512.3%FAIRLY_VALUED

Mahanagar Gas

₹966.6₹849.5-13.8%9.917.0%FAIRLY_VALUED

Institutional Activity

Bulk deals, block deals, short selling & delivery volume — NSE data

Insider Trading

Community Pulse

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