Dashboard/GSPL

GSPL

OVERVALUED

Gujarat State Petronet Limited

Oil & Gas · NSE

↓ 63.3% vs fair value

52W Low

₹226

+5.1% from low

52W High

₹361

-34.0% from high

News sentiment (1 articles)

0 bull0 neutral1 bear

✦

Analyst Note

2d ago

Gujarat State Petronet trades at ₹238, a 63% premium to its fair value of ₹145.79, signaling overvaluation despite medium-confidence assumptions. The company faces headwinds including 10.9% revenue decline over the past year and deteriorating returns on capital, though it maintains a strong balance sheet with minimal debt and cash-backed earnings. However, free cash flow generation and modest dividend yield of 2.1% provide some support. This stock suits value-conscious investors willing to wait for a meaningful price correction toward intrinsic value.

Valuation Gauge

OVERVALUED-63.3% Margin of Safety

OVERVALUEDFAIRLY VALUEDUNDERVALUED

Current Price

₹238

Fair Value

₹146

Fair Value Analysis

₹146

Based on balance sheet strength analysis and earnings multiple (EV/EBITDA) for Oil & Gas sector companies | CAUTION: ROCE declining (latest 22.5%) — returns on capital are falling; verify this isn't a value trap.

Medium confidence

Balance Sheet Value

33% weight

₹245

EV/EBITDA Multiple

67% weight

₹96

Price vs Market

GSPL

Nifty 50

Technical Pulse

Plain English — no jargon

RSI 29.7Neutral

52-week range-23.9% from high

L 226.35H 313.5

20-day avg₹260▼ 8.3%

📍

Price PositionNeutral

Not enough price history to assess trend.

💪

Momentum (RSI)Oversold

RSI is 30 — oversold territory. Selling pressure is high but may be slowing.

📈

Short-term TrendNeutral

Insufficient data for short-term trend.

→Combined Verdict

Trading significantly above fair value. Unless you believe the business has permanently re-rated, the risk-reward is unfavorable here.

Shareholding Pattern

Stock Health Score

Solid Fundamentals

6.6 / 10

Profitability

10/10

ROE of 13.3% is above the Oil & Gas sector benchmark of 10% — strong returns

Debt & Leverage

10/10

D/E ratio of 0.0x is well within the Oil & Gas sector norm of 1.5x — strong balance sheet

Valuation vs Peers

2/10

P/E of 12.8x trades at a significant premium to Oil & Gas sector median (8x)

Cash Flow

8/10

FCF margin of 10.2% — strong cash generation (₹1,765 Cr)

Earnings Growth

3/10

5yr EPS CAGR of -12.1% — earnings are declining (sector avg growth: 14.6%)

Dividend

6/10

Dividend yield of 2.1% provides moderate shareholder returns

Sentiment Trend — Last 30 Days

Historical Returns

Key Ratios & Growth

FCF Yield

-0.1%

Free cash flow / market cap

Revenue Growth (YoY)

-10.9%

Year-on-year revenue change

Profit Growth (YoY)

+13.1%

Year-on-year PAT change

Operating Cash Flow

₹2.7K Cr

TTM cash from operations

Key Financials

EPS (TTM)

₹18.7

P/E Ratio

12.8x

P/B Ratio

1.7x

ROE

13.3%

ROCE

13.2%

Debt / Equity

0.01x

Beta

0.63

Div Yield

2.1%

FCF (Cr)

₹1,765 Cr

Revenue (Cr)

₹17,276 Cr

EPS Growth 5Y

-12.1%

Mkt Cap (Cr)

₹13,465 Cr

52W High

₹360.6

52W Low

₹226.4

Book Value/Share

₹143.4

Financial History

Period	Revenue	Op Profit	OPM%	PAT	EPS
TTM	₹16.3K Cr	₹2.5K Cr	15.0%	₹1.6K Cr	₹18.65
2025-03-31	₹17.4K Cr	₹2.6K Cr	15.0%	₹1.6K Cr	₹19.69
2024-03-31	₹17.3K Cr	₹3.4K Cr	20.0%	₹2.2K Cr	₹29.41
2023-03-31	₹18.1K Cr	₹3.7K Cr	20.0%	₹2.3K Cr	₹29.09
2022-03-31	₹18.0K Cr	₹3.5K Cr	19.0%	₹2.2K Cr	₹29.04
2021-03-31	₹11.5K Cr	₹3.6K Cr	31.0%	₹2.2K Cr	₹28.48
2020-03-31	₹12.2K Cr	₹3.2K Cr	26.0%	₹2.3K Cr	₹30.65
2019-03-31	₹9.3K Cr	₹2.5K Cr	27.0%	₹1.2K Cr	₹17.71
2018-03-31	₹7.3K Cr	₹2.0K Cr	28.0%	₹958 Cr	₹13.15
2017-03-31	₹5.9K Cr	₹1.6K Cr	28.0%	₹718 Cr	₹9.84
2016-03-31	₹992 Cr	₹866 Cr	87.0%	₹465 Cr	₹8.26
2015-03-31	₹1.1K Cr	₹928 Cr	87.0%	₹488 Cr	₹8.64
2014-03-31	₹1.1K Cr	₹929 Cr	88.0%	₹417 Cr	₹7.39

Compounded Growth Rates

Sales Growth

3Y-3.5%

5Y+7.1%

10Y+32.3%

Profit Growth

3Y-12.2%

5Y-6.3%

10Y+13.0%

EPS Growth

3Y-13.8%

5Y-8.1%

10Y+8.5%

Peer Comparison

Oil & Gas

Stock	Price	Fair Value	MoS%	P/E	ROE	Signal
GULFOILLUB Gulf Oil Lubricants India Limited	₹891	₹1,626.9	+45.2%	12.7	21.1%	UNDERVALUED
GULFPETRO GP Petroleums Limited	₹28.7	₹44.1	+35.0%	5.4	7.4%	UNDERVALUED
MAGADSUGAR Magadh Sugar & Energy Limited	₹493	₹640.5	+23.0%	8	13.9%	UNDERVALUED
ONGC Oil and Natural Gas Corporation	₹281.4	₹330.7	+14.9%	9.5	12.2%	FAIRLY_VALUED
AVADHSUGAR Avadh Sugar & Energy Limited	₹499	₹534.5	+6.6%	12.8	8.0%	FAIRLY_VALUED
GAIL GAIL India	₹143.4	₹146.9	+2.3%	10.9	9.8%	FAIRLY_VALUED
HINDPETRO Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited	₹328.9	₹333.1	+1.3%	4.5	12.3%	FAIRLY_VALUED
MGL Mahanagar Gas	₹966.6	₹849.5	-13.8%	9.9	17.0%	FAIRLY_VALUED

Institutional Activity

Bulk deals, block deals, short selling & delivery volume — NSE data

Insider Trading

Community Pulse

What is Dalal Street saying?

r/IndiaInvestments · r/Dalal_Street_Investments · r/IndianStockMarket

No Reddit mentions found yet for GSPL.

StockTwits

What traders are saying right now

StockTwits

No StockTwits activity found for GSPL.

Search Interest

Google Trends · India · Last 90 days"Gujarat State Petronet"

Trends

Interest score (0 = low, 100 = peak)

90-day trend

→

Telegram Channels

ET Markets · CNBC TV18 · Moneycontrol · Zee Business · NDTV Profit

No Telegram mentions found yet for GSPL.

18 articles

Gujarat State Petronet Ltd Falls to 52-Week Low Amid Market Downturn - marketsmojo.com

Google News: GSPL·3d ago

▼ BEARISH

Gujarat State Petronet Ltd Valuation Shifts Signal Growing Price Pressure - Markets Mojo

Google News: GSPL·7d ago

Gujarat State Petronet Ltd is Rated Sell by MarketsMOJO - Markets Mojo

Google News: GSPL·9d ago

Gujarat State Petronet Ltd is Rated Sell - Markets Mojo

Google News: GSPL·9d ago

Gujarat State Petronet - Castrol India, IGL among 5 energy stocks that hit 52-week lows; slip up to 24% in a month - The Economic Times

Google News: GSPL·13d ago

Markets Rally, But Gujarat State Petronet Ltd Sinks to 52-Week Low in Stock-Specific Sell-Off - Markets Mojo

Google News: GSPL·13d ago

Gujarat State Petronet Receives Income Tax Assessment Order for AY 2024-25 with Erroneous Demand - scanx.trade

Google News: GSPL·14d ago

Gujarat State Petronet Limited Appoints Saarthak Gautam as General Manager - scanx.trade

Google News: GSPL·14d ago

Gujarat State Petronet Ltd Hits Intraday Low Amid Price Pressure - Markets Mojo

Google News: GSPL·14d ago

Five Consecutive Losses Push Gujarat State Petronet Ltd to a New 52-Week Low - Markets Mojo

Google News: GSPL·14d ago

Markets Rally, But Gujarat State Petronet Ltd Sinks to 52-Week Low in Stock-Specific Sell-Off - Markets Mojo

Google News: GSPL·17d ago

Gujarat State Petronet Ltd Stock Hits 52-Week Low at Rs.256.4 - Markets Mojo

Google News: GSPL·18d ago

Gujarat State Petronet Ltd Hits 52-Week Low at Rs.264 Amidst Continued Downtrend - Markets Mojo

Google News: GSPL·19d ago

Cipla, GSPL among 6 stocks that hit 52-week lows; slip up to 24% in a month - The Economic Times

Google News: GSPL·19d ago

Gujarat State Petronet Ltd Falls to 52-Week Low of Rs.261.55 - Markets Mojo

Google News: GSPL·19d ago

Gujarat State Petronet Ltd Valuation Shifts to Fair Amid Market Pressure - Markets Mojo

Google News: GSPL·19d ago

Gujarat State Petronet - GAIL among 10 energy stocks that hit 52-week lows; slip up to 18% in a month - The Economic Times

Google News: GSPL·21d ago

Adani Total Gas, Petronet LNG, Gujarat State Petronet: How to trade these 3 buzzing stocks - Business Today

Google News: GSPL·25d ago

Company Documents

Annual reports, concall transcripts & regulatory filings

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Annual Reports

Last 10 years of annual reports via Screener.in

↗🎙️

Concall Transcripts

Quarterly earnings call transcripts & investor presentations

↗🏛️

NSE Filings

Board meeting outcomes, shareholding patterns, corporate actions

↗📊

Balance Sheet & Cash Flow

10-year financial statements on Screener.in

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