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ESSARSHPNG

CAUTION

Essar Shipping Limited

Logistics · NSE

↓ 121.2% vs fair value

52W Low

₹22

+9.6% from low

52W High

₹43

-45.3% from high

News sentiment (2 articles)

0 bull0 neutral2 bear

✦

Analyst Note

2d ago

Essar Shipping trades at ₹23.67, trading at a significant 119.6% premium to its ₹10.7 fair value, signaling caution despite low-confidence valuation metrics. The company faces severe headwinds with revenue collapsing 99% year-on-year and a severely distressed book value, though free cash flow of ₹350 Cr provides some stability. Sentiment remains persistently bearish across both weekly and monthly periods, and a weak Piotroski F-score of 2 reflects deteriorating financial quality. This stock suits only contrarian investors with high risk tolerance seeking distressed logistics plays.

Valuation Gauge

CAUTION-121.2% Margin of Safety

OVERVALUEDFAIRLY VALUEDUNDERVALUED

Current Price

₹24

Fair Value

₹11

Fair Value Analysis

₹11

Based on earnings growth potential for Logistics sector companies | Sector-cheap: P/E at 0th percentile vs sector peers. | CAUTION: ROCE declining (latest 4.1%) — returns on capital are falling; verify this isn't a value trap.

Low confidence

Growth Valuation

100% weight

₹11

Price vs Market

ESSARSHPNG

Nifty 50

Shareholding Pattern

Stock Health Score

Solid Fundamentals

6.6 / 10

Profitability

5/10

EPS of ₹9.0 — ROE data unavailable for full scoring

Debt & Leverage

10/10

D/E ratio of -0.7x is well within the Logistics sector norm of 0.8x — strong balance sheet

Valuation vs Peers

10/10

P/E of 2.6x trades at a 88% discount to Logistics sector median (22x) — attractively valued

Cash Flow

10/10

FCF margin of 233506.7% — exceptional cash generation (₹350 Cr)

Earnings Growth

1/10

5yr EPS CAGR of -63.3% — severe earnings decline

Dividend

4/10

No dividend — typical for growth-stage companies

Sentiment Trend — Last 30 Days

Historical Returns

Key Ratios & Growth

FCF Yield

40.4%

Free cash flow / market cap

Revenue Growth (YoY)

-0.4%

Year-on-year revenue change

Profit Growth (YoY)

-172.3%

Year-on-year PAT change

Operating Cash Flow

₹531 Cr

TTM cash from operations

Key Financials

EPS (TTM)

₹9

P/E Ratio

2.6x

P/B Ratio

-0.2x

ROE

—

ROCE

—

Debt / Equity

-0.69x

Beta

0.98

Div Yield

—

FCF (Cr)

₹350 Cr

Revenue (Cr)

₹0 Cr

EPS Growth 5Y

—

Mkt Cap (Cr)

₹486 Cr

52W High

₹43.3

52W Low

₹21.6

Book Value/Share

₹-114.8

Financial History

Period	Revenue	Op Profit	OPM%	PAT	EPS
TTM	₹-141 Cr	₹-43 Cr	30.0%	₹-64 Cr	₹-3.08
2025-03-31	₹10 Cr	₹-50 Cr	-483.0%	₹660 Cr	₹31.89
2024-03-31	₹20 Cr	₹-67 Cr	-331.0%	₹-104 Cr	₹-5.71
2023-03-31	₹61 Cr	₹32 Cr	53.0%	₹1.6K Cr	₹79.73
2022-03-31	₹328 Cr	₹63 Cr	19.0%	₹-78 Cr	₹-3.79
2021-03-31	₹472 Cr	₹30 Cr	6.0%	₹-621 Cr	₹-29.97
2020-03-31	₹1.3K Cr	₹261 Cr	19.0%	₹-1.7K Cr	₹-81.24
2019-03-31	₹1.3K Cr	₹332 Cr	25.0%	₹-3.8K Cr	₹-182.40
2018-03-31	₹1.2K Cr	₹246 Cr	20.0%	₹-1.7K Cr	₹-80.44
2017-03-31	₹2.2K Cr	₹379 Cr	17.0%	₹-583 Cr	₹-28.19
2016-03-31	₹1.7K Cr	₹279 Cr	16.0%	₹-550 Cr	₹-26.58
2015-03-31	₹1.9K Cr	₹227 Cr	12.0%	₹-459 Cr	₹-22.36
2014-03-31	₹1.9K Cr	₹550 Cr	30.0%	₹-244 Cr	₹-11.88

Compounded Growth Rates

Sales Growth

3Y—

5Y—

10Y—

Profit Growth

3Y—

5Y—

10Y—

EPS Growth

3Y—

5Y—

10Y—

Peer Comparison

Logistics

Stock	Price	Fair Value	MoS%	P/E	ROE	Signal
AVG AVG Logistics Limited	₹146	₹503.1	+71.0%	9.2	15.0%	UNDERVALUED
TOTAL Total Transport Systems Limited	₹49.7	₹129.8	+61.8%	6	15.0%	FAIRLY_VALUED
ACCURACY Accuracy Shipping Limited	₹4.1	₹9.3	+55.8%	22.5	6.3%	FAIRLY_VALUED
CMSINFO CMS Info Systems Limited	₹287.7	₹628.3	+54.2%	14.5	15.9%	FAIRLY_VALUED
QUESS Quess Corp Limited	₹179.9	₹375.3	+52.0%	43.3	41.0%	UNDERVALUED
OMFREIGHT Om Freight Forwarders Limited	₹72	₹101.4	+29.1%	12.4	10.6%	UNDERVALUED
RITCO Ritco Logistics Limited	₹187	₹254.8	+26.6%	12.3	11.3%	UNDERVALUED
SCI Shipping Corporation Of India Limited	₹232.9	₹315.1	+26.1%	9.4	9.1%	UNDERVALUED