CONFIPET
OVERVALUEDConfidence Petroleum India Limited
Oil & Gas · NSE
↓ 61.1% vs fair value
52W Low
₹28
+105.3% from low
52W High
₹64
-9.5% from high
Valuation Gauge
Current Price
₹58
Fair Value
₹36
Fair Value Analysis
₹36
Based on balance sheet strength analysis and earnings multiple (EV/EBITDA) for Oil & Gas sector companies | Sector-cheap: P/E at 47th percentile vs sector peers. | CAUTION: ROCE declining (latest 15.5%) — returns on capital are falling; verify this isn't a value trap. | Growth capped at 7.4% (ROE 6.4%×1.15) — historical CAGR exceeds sustainable rate or COVID period unverifiable.
Balance Sheet Value
33% weight
EV/EBITDA Multiple
67% weight
Price vs Market
Shareholding Pattern
Stock Health Score
Mixed Signals
Profitability
ROE of 6.4% is acceptable for Oil & Gas sector (benchmark: 10%)
Debt & Leverage
D/E ratio of 0.6x is well within the Oil & Gas sector norm of 1.5x — strong balance sheet
Valuation vs Peers
P/E of 20.8x is 2.5x the Oil & Gas sector median of 8x — expensive
Cash Flow
Negative FCF of ₹-262 Cr — company is consuming more cash than it generates
Earnings Growth
5yr EPS CAGR of -0.5% — earnings are declining (sector avg growth: 14.6%)
Dividend
Dividend yield of 0.2% is symbolic — low but positive
Sentiment Trend — Last 30 Days
Historical Returns
Key Ratios & Growth
FCF Yield
-7.1%
Free cash flow / market cap
Revenue Growth (YoY)
+100.0%
Year-on-year revenue change
Profit Growth (YoY)
-19.2%
Year-on-year PAT change
Operating Cash Flow
₹10 Cr
TTM cash from operations
Key Financials
EPS (TTM)
₹2.5
P/E Ratio
20.8x
P/B Ratio
1.3x
ROE
6.4%
ROCE
10.1%
Debt / Equity
0.55x
Beta
0.15
Div Yield
0.2%
FCF (Cr)
₹-262 Cr
Revenue (Cr)
₹3,146 Cr
EPS Growth 5Y
-0.5%
Mkt Cap (Cr)
₹1,743 Cr
52W High
₹63.7
52W Low
₹28.1
Book Value/Share
₹41.3
Financial History
| Period | Revenue | Op Profit | OPM% | PAT | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TTM | ₹4.4K Cr | ₹342 Cr | 8.0% | ₹89 Cr | ₹2.54 |
| 2025-03-31 | ₹3.1K Cr | ₹324 Cr | 10.0% | ₹91 Cr | ₹2.73 |
| 2024-03-31 | ₹2.7K Cr | ₹359 Cr | 13.0% | ₹105 Cr | ₹3.32 |
| 2023-03-31 | ₹2.2K Cr | ₹216 Cr | 10.0% | ₹84 Cr | ₹2.85 |
| 2022-03-31 | ₹1.4K Cr | ₹186 Cr | 13.0% | ₹90 Cr | ₹3.16 |
| 2021-03-31 | ₹863 Cr | ₹121 Cr | 14.0% | ₹49 Cr | ₹1.74 |
| 2020-03-31 | ₹1.1K Cr | ₹127 Cr | 12.0% | ₹52 Cr | ₹1.91 |
| 2019-03-31 | ₹1.0K Cr | ₹126 Cr | 13.0% | ₹67 Cr | ₹2.44 |
| 2018-03-31 | ₹607 Cr | ₹71 Cr | 12.0% | ₹27 Cr | ₹1.04 |
| 2017-03-31 | ₹497 Cr | ₹41 Cr | 8.0% | ₹5 Cr | ₹0.19 |
| 2016-03-31 | ₹355 Cr | ₹35 Cr | 10.0% | ₹1 Cr | ₹0.04 |
| 2015-03-31 | ₹306 Cr | ₹32 Cr | 11.0% | ₹-23 Cr | ₹-0.89 |
| 2014-03-31 | ₹269 Cr | ₹37 Cr | 14.0% | ₹2 Cr | ₹0.08 |
Compounded Growth Rates
Sales Growth
Profit Growth
EPS Growth
Peer Comparison
Oil & Gas| Stock | Price | Fair Value | MoS% | P/E | ROE | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gulf Oil Lubricants India Limited | ₹891 | ₹1,626.9 | +45.2% | 12.7 | 21.1% | UNDERVALUED |
GP Petroleums Limited | ₹28.7 | ₹44.1 | +35.0% | 5.4 | 7.4% | UNDERVALUED |
Magadh Sugar & Energy Limited | ₹493 | ₹640.5 | +23.0% | 8 | 13.9% | UNDERVALUED |
Oil and Natural Gas Corporation | ₹281.4 | ₹330.7 | +14.9% | 9.5 | 12.2% | FAIRLY_VALUED |
Avadh Sugar & Energy Limited | ₹499 | ₹534.5 | +6.6% | 12.8 | 8.0% | FAIRLY_VALUED |
GAIL India | ₹143.4 | ₹146.9 | +2.3% | 10.9 | 9.8% | FAIRLY_VALUED |
Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited | ₹328.9 | ₹333.1 | +1.3% | 4.5 | 12.3% | FAIRLY_VALUED |
Mahanagar Gas | ₹966.6 | ₹849.5 | -13.8% | 9.9 | 17.0% | FAIRLY_VALUED |
Institutional Activity
Bulk deals, block deals, short selling & delivery volume — NSE data
Insider Trading
Community Pulse
Company Documents
Annual reports, concall transcripts & regulatory filings
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