Dashboard/CHENNPETRO

CHENNPETRO

OVERVALUED

Chennai Petroleum Corporation Limited

Oil & Gas · NSE

63.5% vs fair value

52W Low

527

+85.4% from low

52W High

1,103

-11.4% from high

News sentiment (6 articles)
2 bull3 neutral1 bear

Valuation Gauge

OVERVALUED-63.5% Margin of Safety
OVERVALUEDFAIRLY VALUEDUNDERVALUED

Current Price

₹977

Fair Value

₹598

Fair Value Analysis

₹598

Based on free cash flow projections and balance sheet strength analysis and earnings multiple (EV/EBITDA) for Oil & Gas sector companies | CAUTION: ROCE declining (latest 9.0%) — returns on capital are falling; verify this isn't a value trap. | COVID impact: PAT dropped from ₹927Cr (FY2018) to ₹-2056Cr (FY2020); recovery incomplete. CAGR uses pre-COVID base.

Medium confidence

Cash Flow Analysis

40% weight

₹1,007

Balance Sheet Value

20% weight

₹562

EV/EBITDA Multiple

40% weight

₹206

Price vs Market

CHENNPETRO
Nifty 50

Shareholding Pattern

Stock Health Score

D

Weak Fundamentals

3.9 / 10

Profitability

6/10

ROE of 4.0% is below the Oil & Gas sector benchmark of 10%

Debt & Leverage

10/10

D/E ratio of 0.2x is well within the Oil & Gas sector norm of 1.5x — strong balance sheet

Valuation vs Peers

1/10

P/E of 43.6x is 5.3x the Oil & Gas sector median of 8x — expensive

Cash Flow

2/10

FCF margin of 1.1% — very thin despite positive FCF (₹667 Cr)

Earnings Growth

1/10

5yr EPS CAGR of -45.9% — severe earnings decline

Dividend

4/10

Dividend yield of 1.3% is symbolic — low but positive

Sentiment Trend — Last 30 Days

Historical Returns

Key Ratios & Growth

FCF Yield

4.6%

Free cash flow / market cap

Revenue Growth (YoY)

+2.3%

Year-on-year revenue change

Profit Growth (YoY)

+78.7%

Year-on-year PAT change

Operating Cash Flow

₹1.4K Cr

TTM cash from operations

Key Financials

EPS (TTM)

₹23.7

P/E Ratio

43.6x

P/B Ratio

1.7x

ROE

4%

ROCE

5.2%

Debt / Equity

0.22x

Beta

0.17

Div Yield

1.3%

FCF (Cr)

₹667 Cr

Revenue (Cr)

₹59,269 Cr

EPS Growth 5Y

-45.9%

Mkt Cap (Cr)

₹15,386 Cr

52W High

₹1,103

52W Low

₹527

Book Value/Share

₹592.5

Financial History

PeriodRevenueOp ProfitOPM%PATEPS
TTM₹64.1K Cr₹3.5K Cr5.0%₹2.2K Cr₹144.43
2025-03-31₹59.0K Cr₹1.0K Cr2.0%₹214 Cr₹14.38
2024-03-31₹66.0K Cr₹4.5K Cr7.0%₹2.7K Cr₹184.34
2023-03-31₹76.3K Cr₹5.7K Cr7.0%₹3.5K Cr₹237.16
2022-03-31₹43.1K Cr₹2.7K Cr6.0%₹1.4K Cr₹90.79
2021-03-31₹22.2K Cr₹2.0K Cr9.0%₹257 Cr₹17.28
2020-03-31₹37.0K Cr₹-2.2K Cr-6.0%₹-2.1K Cr₹-138.10
2019-03-31₹41.1K Cr₹517 Cr1.0%₹-205 Cr₹-13.79
2018-03-31₹32.4K Cr₹2.1K Cr6.0%₹927 Cr₹62.27
2017-03-31₹27.5K Cr₹1.9K Cr7.0%₹1.1K Cr₹70.57
2016-03-31₹25.7K Cr₹1.3K Cr5.0%₹762 Cr₹51.14
2015-03-31₹41.9K Cr₹-117 Cr0.0%₹-33 Cr₹-2.23

Compounded Growth Rates

Sales Growth

3Y-5.6%
5Y+23.6%
10Y+9.6%

Profit Growth

3Y-15.2%
5Y+52.9%
10Y+10.9%

EPS Growth

3Y-15.2%
5Y+52.9%
10Y+10.9%

Peer Comparison

Oil & Gas
StockPriceFair ValueMoS%P/EROESignal

Gulf Oil Lubricants India Limited

₹891₹1,626.9+45.2%12.721.1%UNDERVALUED

GP Petroleums Limited

₹28.7₹44.1+35.0%5.47.4%UNDERVALUED

Magadh Sugar & Energy Limited

₹493₹640.5+23.0%813.9%UNDERVALUED

Oil and Natural Gas Corporation

₹281.4₹330.7+14.9%9.512.2%FAIRLY_VALUED

Avadh Sugar & Energy Limited

₹499₹534.5+6.6%12.88.0%FAIRLY_VALUED

GAIL India

₹143.4₹146.9+2.3%10.99.8%FAIRLY_VALUED

Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited

₹328.9₹333.1+1.3%4.512.3%FAIRLY_VALUED

Mahanagar Gas

₹966.6₹849.5-13.8%9.917.0%FAIRLY_VALUED

Institutional Activity

Bulk deals, block deals, short selling & delivery volume — NSE data

Insider Trading

Community Pulse

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